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Packers vs Vikings Week 11 NFL Pick

After its 6-0 start to the season, few NFL fans expected Green Bay not to be in first place in the NFC North for its key Week 11 Packers-Vikings game. But after a couple of tough road losses and then a disastrous home loss to Detroit, the Packers are looking up at Minnesota in the standings.


FOX will have the television broadcast of the Packers and Vikings rivalry game at 4:25 p.m. Eastern on Sunday from Minneapolis.


Packers' fans almost could have forgiven losses in Weeks 8 and 9 on the road against a pair of undefeated opponents in Denver and Carolina. But with a home game in Week 10 against woeful Detroit, they expected to easily get back on the winning track and remain in first place in the NFC North Division before the key Packers-Vikings Week 11 tilt.


Instead, the Lions won 18-16 last Sunday. It was just Detroit's second win this season, and it broke a 24-game losing streak in road games for the Lions against the Packers. More importantly for Green Bay, it fell to 6-3, leaving it one game behind the surging Vikings.


Minnesota climbed to 7-2 entering the Packers-Vikings game after collecting its fifth straight win Sunday at Oakland, 30-14. Teddy Bridgewater had less than 200 yards passing for the third straight game for Minnesota last Sunday, but the Vikings rode running back Adrian Peterson's season-high 203 yards rushing to topple the Raiders. It was Peterson's fifth game this season of more than 100 yards on the ground. In one of the strangest statistics in the NFL this season, the Vikings are 5-0 this season when Bridgewater throws for less than 200 yards.


The Packers-Vikings game figures to come down to whether the struggling Green Bay offense is able to solve Minnesota's strong defense. The Vikings have allowed more than 20 points in a game only once this season. Green Bay meanwhile has not had much offense in October and November, not scoring 30 or more points in any of its past six games and being held to 17 points or less three times in that stretch, something that has rarely happened to Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers during his NFL career. Last season, Green Bay's longest streak of games without scoring at least 30 points was two.


The Packers-Vikings series dates back to 1961, and Green Bay leads all-time, 58-49-2. The Packers have dominated Minnesota of late, losing only once and tying once in the past 11 meetings. Green Bay swept both Packers-Vikings games last season, winning 42-10 in Green Bay and 24-21 in Minneapolis.